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All publications for James Pearce-Higgins

Harris, S.J., Massimino, D., Gillings, S., Eaton, M.A., Noble, D.G., Balmer, D.E., Procter, D., PearceHiggins, J.W. & Woodcock, P. 2018. The Breeding Bird Survey 2017. Research Report no. 701. British Trust for Ornithology, Thetford ISBN: 978-1-908581-92-1 Download Report (PDF)
Burgess M.D., Smith K.W., Evans K.L., Leech D., Pearce-Higgins J.W., Branston C.J., Briggs K., Clark J.R., du Feu C.R., Lewthwaite K., Nager R.G., Sheldon B.C., Smith J.A., Whytock R.C., Willis S.G., Phillimore A.B. 2018. Tritrophic phenological match-mismatch in space and time. Ecology and Evolution View at journal website (DOI: 10.1038/s41559-018-0543-1)
Martay, B. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2018. Using data from schools to model variation in soil invertebrates across the UK: The importance of weather, climate, season and habitat. Pedobiologia 67 : 1-9 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1016/j.pedobi.2018.01.002)
Hayhow D.B., Ausden M.A., Bradbury R.B., Burnell D., Copeland A.I., Crick H.Q.P., Eaton M.A., Frost T., Grice P.V., Hall C., Harris S.J., Morecroft M.D., Noble D.G., Pearce-Higgins J.W., Watts O., Williams J.M. 2017. The State of the UK's Birds 2017. RSPB, BTO, WWT, DAERA, JNCC, NE and NRW, Sandy, Bedfordshire Download Report (PDF)
Franks, S.E., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Atkinson, S., Bell, J.R., Botham, M.S., Brereton, T.M., Harrington, R. & Leech, D.I. 2017. The sensitivity of breeding songbirds to change in seasonal timing is linked to population change but cannot be directly attributed to the effects of trophic asynchrony on productivity. . Global Change Biology View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13960)
Massimino, D., Johnston, A., Gillings, S., Jiguet, F. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2017. Projected reductions in climatic suitability for vulnerable British Birds. Climatic Change 145 : 117-130 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-2081-2)
Thaxter, C.B., Buchanan, G.M., Carr, J., Butchart, S.H.M., Newbold, T., Green, R.E., Tobias, J.A., Foden, W.B., O'Brien, S. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2017. Bird and bat species' global vulnerability to collision mortality with wind farms revealed through a trait-based assessment.. Proc. R. Soc. B. 284 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2017.0829)
Franks, S.E., Douglas, D.J.T., Gillings, S. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2017. Environmental correlates of breeding abundance and population change of Eurasian Curlew Numenius arquata in Britain. Bird Study 64 : 393-409 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1080/00063657.2017.1359233)
Harris, S.J., Massimino, D., Gillings, S.E., Eaton, M.A, Noble, D.G., Balmer, D.E., Procter, D. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2017. The Breeding Bird Survey 2016. Research Report no. 700. British Trust for Ornithology, Thetford Download Report (PDF)
Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Beale, C.M., Oliver, T.H., August, T.A., Carroll, M., Massimino, D., Ockendon, N., Savage, J., Wheatley, C.J., Ausden, M.A., Bradbury, R.B., Duffield, S.J., Macgregor, N.A., McClean, C.J., Morecroft, M.D., Thomas, C.D., Watts, O., Beckmann, B.C., Fox, R., Roy, H.E., Sutton, P.G., Walker, K.J. & Crick, H.Q.P. 2017. A national-scale assessment of climate change impacts on species: assessing the balance of risks and opportunities for multiple taxa.. Biological Conservation 213 : 124-134 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2017.06.035) 11pp
Elston, D.A., Brewer, M.J., Martay, B., Johnston, A., Henrys, P.A., Bell, J.R., Harrington, R., Monteith, D., Brereton, T.M., Boughey, K.L., Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2017. A New Approach to Modelling the Relationship Between Annual Population Abundance Indices and Weather Data. Journal of Agriculture, Biological and Environmental Statistics : 1-19 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1007/s13253-017-0287-4)
Wheatley, C.J., Beale, C.M., Bradbury, R.B., Pearce‐Higgins, J.W., Critchlow, R & Thomas, C.D. 2017. Climate change vulnerability for species—Assessing the assessments. Global Change Biology 23 (part 9) : 3 704-3 715 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13759) 12pp
Buchanan, G.M., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Douglas, D.T.J. & Grant, M.C. 2017. Quantifying the importance of multi‐scale management and environmental variables on moorland bird abundance. Ibis 159 (part 4) : 744-756 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/ibi.12488) 13pp
Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Brown, D.J., Douglas, D.J.T., Alves, J.A., Bellio, M., Bocher, P., Buchanan, G.M., Clay, R.P., Conklin, J., Crockford, N., Dann, P., Elts, J., Friis, C., Fuller, R.A., Gill, J.A., Gosbell, K., Johson, J.A., Marquez-Ferrando, R., Masero, J.A., Melville, D.S., Millington, S., Minton, C., Mundkur, T., Nol, E., Pehlak, H., Piersma, T., Robin, F., Rogers, D.I., Ruthrauff, D.R., Senner, N.R., Shah, J.N., Sheldon, R.D., Soloviev, S.A., Tomkovich, P.S. & Verkuil, Y.I. 2017. A global threats overview for Numeniini populations: synthesising expert knowledge for a group of declining migratory birds . Bird Conservation International 27 : 6-34 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1017/S0959270916000678)
Baker, D. J., Hartley, A. J., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Jones, R. G., & Willis, S. G. 2017. Neglected issues in using weather and climate information in ecology and biogeography. Diversity & Distributions View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12527)
Oliver, T.H., Gillings, S., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Brereton, T., Crick, H.Q.P., Duffield, S.J., Morecroft, M.D. & Roy, D.B. 2017. Large extents of intensive land use limit community reorganization during climate warming. Global Change Biology 23 : 2 272-2 283 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13587)
Martay, B., Monteith, D.T., Brewer, M.J., Brereton, T., Shortall, C.R. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2016. An indicator highlights seasonal variation in the response of Lepidoptera communities to warming. Ecological Indicators 68 : 126-133 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.01.057)
Miller, M. W., Leech, D. I., Pearce-Higgins, J. W. & Robinson, R. A. 2016. Multi-state multi-stage modeling of nest-success suggests interaction between weather and land-use. Ecology 98 : 175-186 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1002/ecy.1629)
Martay, B., Brewer, M.J., Elston, D.A., Bell, J.R., Harrington, R., Brereton, T.M., Barlow, K.E., Botham, M.S. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2016. Impacts of climate change on national biodiversity population trends. Ecography Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/ecog.02411)
Hewson, C.M., Thorup, K., Pearce-Higgins, J.W. & Atkinson, P.W. 2016. Population decline is linked to migration route in the Common Cuckoo, a long-distance nocturnally-migrating bird. Nature Communications View at journal website (DOI: 10.1038/ncomms12296)
Harris, S.J., Massimino, D., Newson, S.E., Eaton, M.A., Marchant, J.H., Balmer, D.E., Noble, D.G., Gillings, S., Procter, D. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2016. The Breeding Bird Survey 2015. Research Report no. 687. ISBN: 978-1-908581-69-3 23pp Download Report (PDF)
Morrison, C.A., Robinson, R.A., & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2016. Winter wren populations show adaptation to local climate. Royal Society of Open Science Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1098/rsos.160250)
Thackeray, S.J., Helaouet, P., Johns, D.G., Jones, I.D., Bacon, P.J., Brereton, T.M., Carvalho, L., Clutton-Brock, T.H., Duck, C., Edwards, M., Elliott, J.M., Hall, S.J.G., Harrington, R., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Pemberton, J.M., Sparks, T.H., Thompson, P.M., White, I., Winfield, I.J., Henrys, P.A., Hemming, D., Leech, D.I., Bell, J.R., Botham, M.S., Burthe, S., Mackay, E.B., Massimino, D., Høye, T.T., Kruuk, L.E.B., Wanless, S. & Atkinson, S. 2016. Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels. Nature Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1038/nature18608)
Phillimore, A.B., Leech, D.I., Pearce-Higgins, J.W. & Hadfield, J.D. 2016. Passerines may be sufficiently plastic to track temperature-mediated shifts in optimum lay date. Global Change Biology View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13302)
Sansom, A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W. & Douglas, D.J.T. 2016. Negative impact of wind energy development on a breeding shorebird assessed with a BACI study design. Ibis 158 (part 3) : 541-555 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/ibi.12364)
Sullivan, M.J.P., Newson, S.E. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2016. Changing densities of generalist species underlie apparent homogenization of UK bird communities. Ibis 158 (part 3) : 645-655 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/ibi.12370)
B Martay, J W Pearce-Higgins, S Gillings & S R Baillie 2016. An assessment of the potential benefits of additional stratification of BBS squares by habitat and accessibility to enhance the monitoring of rare species and habitats. . Research Report no. 677. ISBN: 978-1-908581-59-4 39pp £5.00 Download Report (PDF)
Newson, S.E., Moran, N.J., Musgrove, A.J., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Gillings, S., Atkinson, P.W., Miller, R., Grantham, M.J. & Baillie, S.R. 2016. Long-term changes in the migration phenology of UK breeding birds detected by large-scale citizen science recording schemes. Ibis 158 (part 3) : 481-495 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/ibi.12367)
Eglington, S.M., Brereton, T.M., Tayleur, C.M., Noble, D., Risely, K., Roy, D.B. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2016. Patterns and causes of covariation in bird and butterfly community structure . Landscape Ecology 30 (part 8) : 1 461-1 472 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1007%2Fs10980-015-0199-z)
Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Wright, L.J., Grant, M.C. & Douglas, D.J.T. 2016. The role of habitat change in driving Black Grouse Tetrao tetrix population declines across Scotland. Bird Study View at journal website (DOI: 10.1080/00063657.2015.1134439)
Sullivan, M.J.P., Newson, S.E. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2015. Using habitat-specific population trends to evaluate the consistency of the effect of species traits on bird population change. Biological Conservation 192 : 343-352 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1016/j.biocon.2015.10.009)
Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Ockendon, N., Baker, D.J., Carr, J., White, E.C., Almond, R.E.A., Amano, T., Bertram, E., Bradbury, R.B., Bradley, C., Butchart, S.H.M., Doswald, N., Foden, W., Gill, D.J.C., Green, R.E., Sutherland, W.J. & Tanner, E.V.J. 2015. Geographical variation in species' population responses to changes in temperature and precipitation. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 282 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2015.1561) 8pp
Massimino, D., Johnston, A. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2015. The geographical range of British birds expands during 15 years of warming. Bird Study 62 (part 4) : 523-534 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1080/00063657.2015.1089835)
Harrison, P.J., Yuan, Y., Buckland, S.T., Oedekoven, C.S., Elston, D.A., Brewer, M.J., Johnston, A. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2015. Quantifying turnover in British breeding bird communities. Journal of Applied Ecology View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.12539 )
Carroll, M.J., Heinemeyer, A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Dennis, P., West, C., Holden, J., Wallage, Z.E. & Thomas, C.D. 2015. Hydrologically driven ecosystem processes determine the distribution and persistence of ecosystem-specialist predators under climate change . Nature Communications 6 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1038/ncomms8851)
Harris, S.J., Massimino, D., Newson, S.E., Eaton, M.A., Balmer, D.E., Noble, D.G., Musgrove, A.J., Gillings, S., Procter, D. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2015. The Breeding Bird Survey 2014. Research Report no. 673. ISBN: 978-1-908581-56-3 24pp Download Report (PDF)
Ausden, M., Bradbury, R., Brown, A., Eaton, M., Lock, L. & Pearce-Higgins, J. 2015. Climate change and Britain's wildlife: what might we expect?. British Wildlife 26 (part 3) : 161-174
Eglington, S. M., Julliard, R., Gargallo, G., van der Jeugd, H. P., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Baillie, S. R. and Robinson, R. A. 2015. Latitudinal gradients in the productivity of European migrant warblers have not shifted northwards during a period of climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography 24 : 427-436 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/geb.12267)
Gillingham, P. K., Bradbury, R. B., Roy, D. B., Anderson, B. J., Baxter, J. M., Bourn, N. A. D., Crick, H. Q. P., Findon, R. A., Fox, R., Franco, A., Hill, J. K., Hodgson, J. A., Holt, A. R., Morecroft, M. D., O'Hanlon, N. J., Oliver, T. H., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Procter, D. A., Thomas, J. A., Walker, K. J., Walmsley, C. A., Wilson, R. J. and Thomas, C. D. 2015. The effectiveness of protected areas in the conservation of species with changing geographical ranges. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society 115 (part 3) : 707-717 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/bij.12506)
Massimino, D., Johnston, A., Noble, D.G. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2015. Multi-species spatially-explicit indicators reveal spatially structured trends in bird communities. Ecological Indicators 58 Elsevier : 277-285 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.06.001)
Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Eglington, S.M., Martay, B. & Chamberlain, D.E. 2015. Drivers of climate change impacts on bird communities. Journal of Animal Ecology 84 (part 4) British Ecological Society : 943-954 View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.12364)
Sullivan, M.J.P., Newson, S.E. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2015. Evidence for the buffer effect operating in multiple species at a national scale. Biology Letters 11 (part 1) Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1098/rsbl.2014.0930)
Buchanan, G.M., Pearce-Higgins, J.W. & Grant, M.C. 2014. Grazing and moorland birds. Book title: Ecology and conservation of birds in upland and alpine habitats: Proceedings of the BOU Annual Conference held at the University of Leicester, 1-3 April 2014 BOU Link to publication
Carroll, M., Dennis, P., Ewing, S., Heinemeyer, A., Pearce-Higgins, J. & Thomas, C. 2014. Impacts of drainage and climate change on keystone insects and upland breeding birds. Book title: Ecology and conservation of birds in upland and alpine habitats: Proceedings of the BOU Annual Conference held at the University of Leicester, 1-3 April 2014 BOU Link to publication
Douglas, D.J.T. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2014. Relative importance of prey abundance and habitat structure as drivers of shorebird breeding success and abundance. Animal Conservation View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/acv.12119)
Douglas, D.J.T., Bellamy, P.E., Stephen, L.S., Pearce 2014. Upland land use predicts population decline in a globally near-threatened wader. Journal of Applied Ecology 51 (part 1) : 194-203 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.12167)
Eglington, S.M., Julliard, R., Gargallo, G., van der Jeugd, H.P., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Baillie, S.R. & Robinson, R.A. 2014. Latitudinal gradients in the productivity of European migrant warblers have not shifted northwards during a period of climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/geb.12267)
Finch, T., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Leech, D.I. & Evans, K.L. 2014. Carry-over effects from passage regions are more important than breeding climate in determining the breeding phenology and performance of three avian migrants of conservation concern. Biodiversity and Conservation 23 (part 10) : 2 427-2 444 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1007/s10531-014-0731-5)
Harrison, P.J., Buckland, S.T., Yuan, Y., Elston, D.A., Brewer, M.J., Johnston, A. & Pearce-Higgins, J.W. 2014. Assessing trends in biodiversity over space and time using the example of British breeding birds. Journal of Applied Ecology 51 (part 6) : 1 650-1 660 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.12316)
Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Gregory, R.D. & Willis, S.G. 2014. Improving species distribution models: the value of data on abundance. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 5 (part 6) : 506-513 Link to publication View at journal website (DOI: 10.1111/2041-210X.12184)

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