RAS results

RAS results

RAS aims to generate annual survival rate estimates for adult birds, focusing primarily on species not encountered in large numbers during standard mist netting activities such as CES.


In total, 167 RAS projects were active in 2025. Data from historical projects and active projects that have been running successfully for five or more years are included in the analyses of the national results presented here.

The RAS analyses generate two parameters: survival rates and re-encounter rates. The survival rates indicate the proportion of birds that survive and return to the site to breed each year, while the re-encounter rates provide a measure of the probability of a bird’s presence being detected should it have survived and returned; the higher the re-encounter rate, the more precise the survival estimate.

The table and graphs below present the mean re-encounter rates, survival rates and survival trends for all species for which we have sufficient data to produce a trend. For more information about the RAS results, please see the Explanatory Notes pages.


Summary results

The summary table of active and historical RAS projects shows, for each species, how many projects ran in 2025 and how many projects contributed to each trend. It is apparent from these data that some species, e.g. Pied Flycatcher, House Sparrow, lend themselves well to RAS and uptake has been very high. Priority species for future RAS recruitment are those for which established studies are producing reliable survival trends but currently only at a few sites; these include Barn Owl, Dipper, Mute Swan, Starling, Swallow and Tree Sparrow.

The other table below summarises the mean survival and re-encounter rates by species. Re-encounter rates may be heavily influenced by methodology and several general patterns are apparent:

  • Species that are caught on or near nests/nestboxes, such as Dipper, Barn Owl and Pied Flycatcher, tend to exhibit higher re-encounter rates for females as they spend more time incubating and brooding the contents than the males do.
  • Species caught using tape lures, e.g. Willow Warbler, Sedge Warbler, tend to exhibit higher re-encounter rates for males.
  • Colony nesters, such as seabirds and Sand Martins, tend to have lower re-encounter rates as it is much harder to systematically target individual birds. 

While not summarised in this table, re-encounter rates are also generally higher in studies using colour rings, e.g. Bearded Tit, Kittiwake, Shag and Wood Warbler, but this is obviously dependent on resighting effort.

Summary of active and historical RAS projects in 2025

Species

Number of projects contributing to the survival trend

Number of projects active in 2025

Number of projects new in 2025

Survival Trend Quality

Arctic Tern          

1

1

0

Moderate

Avocet

1

0

0

Uncertain

Barn Owl              

4

3

0

Good

Bearded Tit

3

1

0

Moderate

Blue Tit

3

1

0

Uncertain

Bullfinch

5

1

0

Good

Chough

1

0

0

Good

Collared Dove

2

1

0

Uncertain

Common Sandpiper

3

0

0

Moderate

Common Tern

1

1

0

Uncertain

Dipper

9

4

1

Good

Dunnock

2

1

0

Uncertain

Eider

5

1

0

Uncertain

Fulmar

1

1

0

Uncertain

Garden Warbler

1

1

1

Uncertain

Great Black-backed Gull

1

1

0

Moderate

Great Tit

4

2

0

Uncertain

Greylag Goose

0

1

0

-

Guillemot

5

3

0

Good

Hawfinch

3

2

0

Moderate

Herring Gull

1

1

0

Good

Hooded Crow

0

1

0

-

House Martin

6

0

0

Moderate

House Sparrow

23

9

0

Good

Jackdaw

5

4

0

Good

Kittiwake

10

6

0

Good

Lesser Black-backed Gull

3

1

0

Good

Linnet

2

2

0

Good

Little Owl

1

1

0

Moderate

Little Ringed Plover

1

0

0

Uncertain

Little Tern

1

1

0

Uncertain

Manx Shearwater

1

1

1

Good

Marsh Tit

5

3

0

Uncertain

Mute Swan

5

4

0

Good

Nightingale

2

1

0

Moderate

Peregrine

1

1

0

Moderate

Pied Flycatcher

33

18

1

Good

Puffin

3

4

2

Moderate

Razorbill

4

3

0

Good

Reed Bunting

1

1

0

Moderate

Reed Warbler

13

11

0

Good

Ringed Plover

1

1

0

Good

Robin

2

2

0

Moderate

Rock Dove

0

1

0

-

Rock Pipit

0

1

1

-

Rook

2

1

0

Moderate

Roseate Tern

0

1

0

-

Sand Martin

25

9

1

Good

Sandwich Tern

0

0

0

-

Sedge Warbler

3

2

0

Moderate

Shag

4

3

0

Uncertain

Siskin

8

4

0

Good

Starling

22

22

2

Good

Stonechat

3

2

0

Moderate

Storm Petrel

5

2

0

Moderate

Swallow

8

1

0

Good

Swift

3

3

1

Uncertain

Tawny Owl

1

1

0

Moderate

Tree Pipit

2

3

0

Moderate

Tree Sparrow

4

2

0

Moderate

Twite

2

0

0

Good

Wheatear

6

3

0

Good

Whinchat

1

1

1

Moderate

Whitethroat

2

1

0

Moderate

Wood Warbler

1

1

0

Uncertain

Woodpigeon

1

1

0

Moderate

Total

282

167

12

 

Mean survival and re-encounter rates by species

 

Survival rate

Re-encounter rate

Species

Duration of project

Female

Male

Single sex

 

Arctic Tern

2013–2025

-

-

82%

73%

Avocet

2011–2024

-

-

79%

78%

Barn Owl

1997–2025

67%

67%

-

41%

Bearded Tit

2002–2025

30%

42%

-

35%

Blue Tit

2001–2025

58%

47%

-

50%

Bullfinch

1999–2025

38%

40%

-

53%

Chough

2018–2023

90%

79%

-

78%

Collared Dove

2012–2025

56%

48%

-

25%

Common Sandpiper

1977–2023

67%

64%

-

63%

Common Tern

2016–2025

-

-

79%

32%

Dipper

2002–2025

50%

48%

-

66%

Dunnock

1998–2025

41%

38%

-

63%

Eider

1998–2025

-

-

87%

41%

Fulmar

2020–2025

-

-

69%

32%

Garden Warbler

2011–2022

27%

48%

-

42%

Great Black-backed Gull

2015–2025

-

-

84%

56%

Great Tit

1999–2025

59%

55%

-

40%

Guillemot

1981–2025

-

-

84%

23%

Hawfinch

2011–2025

66%

67%

-

34%

Herring Gull

2012–2025

-

-

88%

59%

House Martin

1994–2024

32%

29%

-

42%

House Sparrow

2003–2025

42%

45%

-

58%

Jackdaw

2006–2025

80%

71%

-

45%

Kittiwake

2000–2025

-

-

80%

53%

Lesser Black–backed Gull

2003–2025

-

-

83%

44%

Linnet

2003–2025

27%

35%

-

49%

Little Owl

2006–2024

-

-

71%

77%

Little Ringed Plover

2000–2021

54%

71%

-

41%

Little Tern

2017–2023

-

-

94%

73%

Manx Shearwater

2014–2025

-

-

90%

65%

Marsh Tit

2003–2025

64%

49%

-

68%

Mute Swan

2013–2025

-

-

68%

61%

Nightingale

2011–2025

46%

57%

-

43%

Peregrine

2004–2025

83%

83%

-

77%

Pied Flycatcher

1980–2025

41%

44%

-

60%

Puffin

2008–2025

-

-

90%

39%

Razorbill

1981–2025

-

-

88%

14%

Reed Bunting

2014–2025

42%

50%

-

58%

Reed Warbler

1981–2025

46%

45%

-

31%

Robin

1974–2025

39%

45%

-

44%

Rook

2017–2025

77%

85%

-

46%

Sand Martin

1990–2025

30%

34%

-

37%

Sedge warbler

2014–2025

28%

36%

-

41%

Shag

1998–2025

88%

86%

-

40%

Siskin

2004–2025

47%

47%

-

14%

Starling

2005–2025

49%

51%

-

43%

Stonechat

2002–2025

26%

31%

-

63%

Storm Petrel

1998–2025

-

-

80%

20%

Swallow

1998–2025

37%

41%

-

61%

Tawny Owl

2006–2025

82%

76%

-

56%

Tree Pipit

2011–2025

-

-

46%

60%

Tree Sparrow

2007–2025

32%

25%

-

23%

Twite

2007–2022

34%

35%

-

70%

Wheatear

1998–2025

49%

51%

-

68%

Whinchat

2011–2022

29%

42%

-

78%

Whitethroat

2015–2025

40%

39%

-

35%

Wood Warbler

2011–2025

21%

34%

-

67%

Woodpigeon

2012–2025

-

-

61%

57%

Species specific results

Select a species from the drop-down list.

For more information about how to interpret the data shown on the RAS results graphs, please see the RAS Results Explanatory Notes.