Overwinter population estimates of waterbirds in Great Britain

Overwinter population estimates of waterbirds in Great Britain

British Birds, 2025

Citation

Caulfield, E., Woodward, I., Peck, K., Wotton, S. & Frost, T. 2025. Overwinter population estimates of waterbirds in Great Britain. British Birds 118: 642–657.
Whooper Swans in flight over water, Liz Cutting / BTO

Overview

Analysis of data from long-term monitoring schemes gives a total wintering waterbird population estimate in Great Britain of 12.8 million individuals for 2017/2018 to 2022/2023. While this total is unchanged from the previous estimate, there have been notable shifts, with numbers of estuarine waders, Whooper Swans, Little Egrets and non-migratory geese increasing, and declines in several duck and goose populations, including Bewick’s Swan, Pink-footed Goose and Teal.

Abstract

Great Britain supports internationally important numbers of wintering waterbirds, and accurate population estimates are essential for conservation assessment and site designation. Updated estimates are presented here for 99 species or populations, 65 of which have been newly revised using data from the Wetland Bird Survey (WeBS), the Goose and Swan Monitoring Programme (GSMP), the Non-Estuarine Waterbird Survey (NEWS), the Heronries Census, and other sources. Estimates generally represent the mean peak wintering population from 2017/18 to 2022/23, excluding 2020/21 owing to reduced coverage during the Covid-19 pandemic. Methodological refinements include an updated stratification framework distinguishing estuarine, coastal and inland habitats, and revised scaling of NEWS data. The total wintering waterbird population in Great Britain is estimated at 12.8 million individuals – unchanged from Frost et al. (2019) – but with notable shifts within species groups. Estuarine waders have increased, while several duck and goose populations have declined, including Bewick’s Swan Cygnus columbianus, Pink-footed Goose Anser brachyrhynchus and Eurasian Teal Anas crecca. Conversely, Whooper Swan Cygnus cygnus, Little Egret Egretta garzetta and non-migratory goose populations have continued to increase. The results highlight the continuing value of coordinated long-term monitoring, the need to repeat NEWS and expand offshore coverage, and the importance of maintaining robust population estimates for national and international conservation reporting.

WeBS is a partnership jointly funded by the BTO, Royal Society for the Protection of Birds (RSPB) and Joint Nature Conservation Committee (JNCC), with fieldwork conducted by volunteers. GSMP is a partnership run and jointly funded by the BTO, JNCC and NatureScot, with fieldwork conducted by both volunteer and professional surveyors.