BTO publishes peer-reviewed papers in a wide range of scientific journals, both independently and with our partners. If you are unable to access a scientific paper by a BTO author, please contact us. Search settings Cuardaigh Order by: Order by Latest Oldest Filter by: BTO Author Species Partners Publication Year Project Region Science topic BTO Author Adham Ashton-ButtAilidh BarnesAli JohnstonAllison KewAmanda TraskAmy ChallisAndrew DobsonAndrew JoysAndy ClementsAndy MusgroveAnna RenwickAnne CottonAnthony WetherhillAonghais CookBen DarvillBjörn BeckmannBlaise MartayBob SwannBrian EtheridgeBridget GriffinCallum MacgregorCarl BarimoreCaroline BrightonCat MorrisonCatharine HorswillCharlotte WattsChas HoltChris HewsonChris PollockChris ThaxterChris WernhamClaire BoothbyClare SimmDan ChamberlainDaniel JohnstonDaria DadamDario MassiminoDavid DouglasDavid JarrettDavid NobleDavid NorfolkDawn BalmerDiana de PalacioDorian MossEllie LeechEmily ScraggEmma CaulfieldEsther KettelGary ClewleyGavin SiriwardenaGillian BirtlesGraham AppletonGraham AustinGreg ConwayHannah HerewardHarry EwingHazel McCambridgeHeidi MellanHenrietta PringleHugh HanmerIain DownieIan HendersonIan WoodwardJacob DaviesJacquie ClarkJames BrayJames ClarkeJames HeywoodJames Pearce-HigginsJennifer BorderJeremy SmithJez BlackburnJoe CooperJohn CalladineJohn MarchantJuliet VickeryKaren WrightKate PlummerKate RiselyKatharine BowgenKatherine Booth JonesKelvin JonesKev LeightonLee BarberLiz HumphreysLucy WrightMadeleine BartonMáire KirklandMandy CookMark GranthamMark HulmeMark MillerMark RehfischMark WilsonMartin SullivanMike TomsNancy OckendonNeil CalbradeNiall BurtonNick MoranNicola BuggNigel ClarkNina O’HanlonPaul NoyesPeadar O'ConnellPeter LackPhil AtkinsonPhilipp Boersch-SupanRachel TaylorRob FullerRob RobinsonRobert JaquesRos GreenRuth WalkerSabine SchäeferSamantha FranksSamuel LangloisSarah EglingtonSarah HarrisShane WolseySimon GillingsSophie BennettStaffan RoosStephen BaillieStephen McAvoyStuart NewsonSu GoughTeresa FrostTim HarrisonViola Ross-Smith Species Arctic SkuaArctic TernAvocetBadgerBar-tailed GodwitBarnacle GooseBatsBewick’s SwanBlack GrouseBlack GuillemotBlack RatBlack-headed GullBlack-tailed GodwitBlack-throated DiverBlackbirdBlackcapBlue TitBrown RatButterflies and mothsBuzzardCanada GooseCarrion CrowChaffinchChiffchaffChoughCommon GullCommon NighthawkCommon TernCormorantCorn BuntingCuckooCurlewCurlew SandpiperDunlinEdible DormouseEiderFieldfareFulmarGannetGatekeeperGolden EagleGolden OrioleGolden PloverGoldeneyeGoldfinchGoosanderGoshawkGreat Black-backed GullGreat Crested GrebeGreat Northern DiverGreat SkuaGreat TitGreater Spotted EagleGreen-veined WhiteGreenfinchGreenshankGrey PloverGuillemotHarvest MouseHazel DormouseHerring GullHobbyHooded CrowHouse MartinHouse MouseHouse SparrowInvertebratesJayKittiwakeKnotLapwingLeach’s PetrelLesser Black-backed GullLesser Spotted WoodpeckerLinnetLittle OwlLittle Ringed PloverLittle TernLong-tailed DuckLong-tailed TitMagpieMallardMammalsManx ShearwaterMarsh TitMediterranean GullMontagu’s HarrierMoorhenNightingaleNightjarNuthatchOriental CuckooOystercatcherPeregrinePheasantPied FlycatcherPuffinPurple SandpiperRavenRazorbillRed-backed ShrikeRed-breasted MerganserRed-legged PartridgeRed-throated DiverRedshankRedstartRedwingRing-necked ParakeetRinged PloverRookRoseate TernRuffSanderlingSandwich TernSemipalmated SandpiperSerinShagShelduckShort-eared OwlShort-toed TreecreeperSiskinSkylarkSlavonian GrebeSmall WhiteSmewSnipeSong ThrushSpotted FlycatcherSpotted RedshankStarlingStorm PetrelSwallowSwiftTawny OwlTealTemminck’s StintTree PipitTree SparrowTurnstoneTurtle DoveVelvet ScoterWhimbrelWhinchatWhite StorkWhite-fronted GooseWhite-tailed EagleWillow TitWillow WarblerWood mouseWood WarblerWoodcockWoodpigeonWrenWryneckYellow-browed WarblerYellow-legged GullYellow-necked Mouse Partners BTO DAERA JNCC Natural England NatureScot RSPB From year Choose2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999199819971996 To year Choose2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999199819971996 Month Month ChooseJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec Day Day Choose12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031 Project ChooseBird Ringing SchemeBirds in GreenspacesBirdTrackBlackbirds in GardensBreeding Bird Survey (BBS)BTO Acoustic PipelineCuckoo Tracking ProjectCudyll Cymru – Monitoring Raptors in WalesCudyll Cymru – Monitoring Raptors in Wales (Cymraeg)Gamekeeper Wader TransectsGarden Bird Feeding SurveyGarden BirdWatchGarden Wildlife HealthGoose and Swan Monitoring ProgrammeHeathland Birds SurveyHeronries CensusNest Record SchemeNesting NeighboursSeabird Monitoring ProgrammeVolunteer Mountain Hare SurveyWader CalendarWader Monitoring SchemeWaterways Breeding Bird SurveyWetland Bird Survey (WeBS)Winter Bird SurveyWoodcock Survey Region UK England East Midlands East of England London North East North West South East South West West Midlands Yorkshire and the Humber Northern Ireland Scotland Wales Ireland Isle of Man Guernsey Jersey Marine region away from land Science topic Biodiversity Birds and people Climate change Conservation Demographics Farmland Grassland Habitats International Marine Migration Monitoring Non-natives Other wildlife Population dynamics Predators Renewables Species interactions Technology Tracking Upland Urban Wetland Wildlife health Woodland Search Reset Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels Author: Published: 2016 30.06.16 Papers View this paper online Developing a biodiversity-based indicator for large-scale environmental assessment: a case study of proposed shale gas extraction sites in Britain Author: Published: 2016 20.06.16 Papers Playback survey trial for the Little Owl Athene noctua in the UK Author: Published: 2016 Little Owls are in decline in the UK, but are hard to monitor, making it difficult to establish this species' conservation and management needs. Newly-published research by the BTO demonstrates how playback could be an effective tool for helping to detect and monitor this species. A non-native species, the Little Owl was introduced to the UK and first bred here in the late-1800s. Although it spread rapidly across lowland agricultural habitat, the population has declined fast in recent years, in a similar trajectory to that found in parts of its native range elsewhere in Europe. However, because this species is largely nocturnal and found at a low population density, it is hard to construct reliable population estimates, and the most recent number of 5,700 pairs is derived from work published in 2008. As a declining predatory species that largely occupies agricultural areas and has a varied diet, a better understanding of the Little Owl population and the drivers of its change is valuable irrespective of this species’ native status, so new and improved techniques monitoring Little Owl numbers are desirable. New BTO research, led by Gary Clewley, has tested the use of playback to monitor Little Owl numbers. Here, the response of local birds to recordings of Little Owl calls is assessed. This method was tested in a well-monitored Little Owl population in the Lincolnshire Fens, on whose habitat 12 squares of 2 km by 2 km were surveyed on four occasions between sunset and midnight in March and April 2015. The results showed that playback was a very effective means of detecting Little Owls. Little Owls were found in 100% of squares where individuals were known to be breeding after only two visits. This method could be scaled up for use in wider ecological research or indeed a national survey of Little Owls, the need for which BTO is currently considering. Either way, the application of playback in Little Owl monitoring could prove valuable in decisions about how to manage and conserve this species. 10.06.16 Papers Bird Study Winter wren populations show adaptation to local climate Author: Published: 2016 BTO research reveals that one of our most widespread songbirds – the Wren – varies in its resilience to winter weather, depending on where in Britain it lives. Scottish Wrens are larger than those living in southern Britain, and are more resilient to hard winter frosts. Wrens are amongst the UK's smallest songbirds, and their populations can decline following periods of cold winter weather, due to the cold itself and difficulties in finding sufficient insect prey. BTO research, in collaboration with the University of East Anglia, shows that Wrens inhabiting regions where winters are more severe have adapted to this. The study used information on Wren populations that had been collected by volunteers participating in the Breeding Bird Survey to show that Wren populations were susceptible to severe winter weather, measured in terms of the number of days with a ground frost. However, northern populations were found to be resilient to winters with up to 70% more frost days than southern populations, suggesting a degree of local adaptation. This work indicates that each Wren population is closely adapted to its local climate; there was a close correlation between the historic regional climate and the degree to which the population was resilient to severe winters. Using information collected by bird ringers, the study also found that Wren body mass was approximately 5% lower in the warmest (south-west) than in the coldest (east Scotland) region. Large individuals are likely to be favoured in colder regions due to the thermal advantage of larger size and their ability to store more body fat, matching the pattern seen more widely across other species – a pattern known as Bergmann’s rule. The findings of this study have particular relevance to our understanding of how birds and other species respond to climate change. Although this work shows that Wren populations may adapt to at least some change in temperature, they are short-lived and therefore probably more adaptable than most other bird species. Ultimately, the ability of species to cope with climate change will depend upon whether the future rate of warming exceeds their ability to adapt. 01.06.16 Papers View on journal website Changes in behaviour drive inter-annual variability in the at-sea distribution of northern gannets Author: Published: 2016 27.05.16 Papers Predictive modelling to identify near-shore, fine-scale seabird distributions during the breeding season Author: Published: 2016 27.05.16 Papers Passerines may be sufficiently plastic to track temperature-mediated shifts in optimum lay date Author: Published: 2016 19.05.16 Papers Pagination First page First Previous page Previous … Page 62 Page 63 Page 64 Page 65 Page 66 Page 67 Page 68 Page 69 Page 70 … Next page Next Last page Last
Search settings Cuardaigh Order by: Order by Latest Oldest Filter by: BTO Author Species Partners Publication Year Project Region Science topic BTO Author Adham Ashton-ButtAilidh BarnesAli JohnstonAllison KewAmanda TraskAmy ChallisAndrew DobsonAndrew JoysAndy ClementsAndy MusgroveAnna RenwickAnne CottonAnthony WetherhillAonghais CookBen DarvillBjörn BeckmannBlaise MartayBob SwannBrian EtheridgeBridget GriffinCallum MacgregorCarl BarimoreCaroline BrightonCat MorrisonCatharine HorswillCharlotte WattsChas HoltChris HewsonChris PollockChris ThaxterChris WernhamClaire BoothbyClare SimmDan ChamberlainDaniel JohnstonDaria DadamDario MassiminoDavid DouglasDavid JarrettDavid NobleDavid NorfolkDawn BalmerDiana de PalacioDorian MossEllie LeechEmily ScraggEmma CaulfieldEsther KettelGary ClewleyGavin SiriwardenaGillian BirtlesGraham AppletonGraham AustinGreg ConwayHannah HerewardHarry EwingHazel McCambridgeHeidi MellanHenrietta PringleHugh HanmerIain DownieIan HendersonIan WoodwardJacob DaviesJacquie ClarkJames BrayJames ClarkeJames HeywoodJames Pearce-HigginsJennifer BorderJeremy SmithJez BlackburnJoe CooperJohn CalladineJohn MarchantJuliet VickeryKaren WrightKate PlummerKate RiselyKatharine BowgenKatherine Booth JonesKelvin JonesKev LeightonLee BarberLiz HumphreysLucy WrightMadeleine BartonMáire KirklandMandy CookMark GranthamMark HulmeMark MillerMark RehfischMark WilsonMartin SullivanMike TomsNancy OckendonNeil CalbradeNiall BurtonNick MoranNicola BuggNigel ClarkNina O’HanlonPaul NoyesPeadar O'ConnellPeter LackPhil AtkinsonPhilipp Boersch-SupanRachel TaylorRob FullerRob RobinsonRobert JaquesRos GreenRuth WalkerSabine SchäeferSamantha FranksSamuel LangloisSarah EglingtonSarah HarrisShane WolseySimon GillingsSophie BennettStaffan RoosStephen BaillieStephen McAvoyStuart NewsonSu GoughTeresa FrostTim HarrisonViola Ross-Smith Species Arctic SkuaArctic TernAvocetBadgerBar-tailed GodwitBarnacle GooseBatsBewick’s SwanBlack GrouseBlack GuillemotBlack RatBlack-headed GullBlack-tailed GodwitBlack-throated DiverBlackbirdBlackcapBlue TitBrown RatButterflies and mothsBuzzardCanada GooseCarrion CrowChaffinchChiffchaffChoughCommon GullCommon NighthawkCommon TernCormorantCorn BuntingCuckooCurlewCurlew SandpiperDunlinEdible DormouseEiderFieldfareFulmarGannetGatekeeperGolden EagleGolden OrioleGolden PloverGoldeneyeGoldfinchGoosanderGoshawkGreat Black-backed GullGreat Crested GrebeGreat Northern DiverGreat SkuaGreat TitGreater Spotted EagleGreen-veined WhiteGreenfinchGreenshankGrey PloverGuillemotHarvest MouseHazel DormouseHerring GullHobbyHooded CrowHouse MartinHouse MouseHouse SparrowInvertebratesJayKittiwakeKnotLapwingLeach’s PetrelLesser Black-backed GullLesser Spotted WoodpeckerLinnetLittle OwlLittle Ringed PloverLittle TernLong-tailed DuckLong-tailed TitMagpieMallardMammalsManx ShearwaterMarsh TitMediterranean GullMontagu’s HarrierMoorhenNightingaleNightjarNuthatchOriental CuckooOystercatcherPeregrinePheasantPied FlycatcherPuffinPurple SandpiperRavenRazorbillRed-backed ShrikeRed-breasted MerganserRed-legged PartridgeRed-throated DiverRedshankRedstartRedwingRing-necked ParakeetRinged PloverRookRoseate TernRuffSanderlingSandwich TernSemipalmated SandpiperSerinShagShelduckShort-eared OwlShort-toed TreecreeperSiskinSkylarkSlavonian GrebeSmall WhiteSmewSnipeSong ThrushSpotted FlycatcherSpotted RedshankStarlingStorm PetrelSwallowSwiftTawny OwlTealTemminck’s StintTree PipitTree SparrowTurnstoneTurtle DoveVelvet ScoterWhimbrelWhinchatWhite StorkWhite-fronted GooseWhite-tailed EagleWillow TitWillow WarblerWood mouseWood WarblerWoodcockWoodpigeonWrenWryneckYellow-browed WarblerYellow-legged GullYellow-necked Mouse Partners BTO DAERA JNCC Natural England NatureScot RSPB From year Choose2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999199819971996 To year Choose2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008200720062005200420032002200120001999199819971996 Month Month ChooseJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec Day Day Choose12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031 Project ChooseBird Ringing SchemeBirds in GreenspacesBirdTrackBlackbirds in GardensBreeding Bird Survey (BBS)BTO Acoustic PipelineCuckoo Tracking ProjectCudyll Cymru – Monitoring Raptors in WalesCudyll Cymru – Monitoring Raptors in Wales (Cymraeg)Gamekeeper Wader TransectsGarden Bird Feeding SurveyGarden BirdWatchGarden Wildlife HealthGoose and Swan Monitoring ProgrammeHeathland Birds SurveyHeronries CensusNest Record SchemeNesting NeighboursSeabird Monitoring ProgrammeVolunteer Mountain Hare SurveyWader CalendarWader Monitoring SchemeWaterways Breeding Bird SurveyWetland Bird Survey (WeBS)Winter Bird SurveyWoodcock Survey Region UK England East Midlands East of England London North East North West South East South West West Midlands Yorkshire and the Humber Northern Ireland Scotland Wales Ireland Isle of Man Guernsey Jersey Marine region away from land Science topic Biodiversity Birds and people Climate change Conservation Demographics Farmland Grassland Habitats International Marine Migration Monitoring Non-natives Other wildlife Population dynamics Predators Renewables Species interactions Technology Tracking Upland Urban Wetland Wildlife health Woodland Search Reset Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels Author: Published: 2016 30.06.16 Papers View this paper online Developing a biodiversity-based indicator for large-scale environmental assessment: a case study of proposed shale gas extraction sites in Britain Author: Published: 2016 20.06.16 Papers Playback survey trial for the Little Owl Athene noctua in the UK Author: Published: 2016 Little Owls are in decline in the UK, but are hard to monitor, making it difficult to establish this species' conservation and management needs. Newly-published research by the BTO demonstrates how playback could be an effective tool for helping to detect and monitor this species. A non-native species, the Little Owl was introduced to the UK and first bred here in the late-1800s. Although it spread rapidly across lowland agricultural habitat, the population has declined fast in recent years, in a similar trajectory to that found in parts of its native range elsewhere in Europe. However, because this species is largely nocturnal and found at a low population density, it is hard to construct reliable population estimates, and the most recent number of 5,700 pairs is derived from work published in 2008. As a declining predatory species that largely occupies agricultural areas and has a varied diet, a better understanding of the Little Owl population and the drivers of its change is valuable irrespective of this species’ native status, so new and improved techniques monitoring Little Owl numbers are desirable. New BTO research, led by Gary Clewley, has tested the use of playback to monitor Little Owl numbers. Here, the response of local birds to recordings of Little Owl calls is assessed. This method was tested in a well-monitored Little Owl population in the Lincolnshire Fens, on whose habitat 12 squares of 2 km by 2 km were surveyed on four occasions between sunset and midnight in March and April 2015. The results showed that playback was a very effective means of detecting Little Owls. Little Owls were found in 100% of squares where individuals were known to be breeding after only two visits. This method could be scaled up for use in wider ecological research or indeed a national survey of Little Owls, the need for which BTO is currently considering. Either way, the application of playback in Little Owl monitoring could prove valuable in decisions about how to manage and conserve this species. 10.06.16 Papers Bird Study Winter wren populations show adaptation to local climate Author: Published: 2016 BTO research reveals that one of our most widespread songbirds – the Wren – varies in its resilience to winter weather, depending on where in Britain it lives. Scottish Wrens are larger than those living in southern Britain, and are more resilient to hard winter frosts. Wrens are amongst the UK's smallest songbirds, and their populations can decline following periods of cold winter weather, due to the cold itself and difficulties in finding sufficient insect prey. BTO research, in collaboration with the University of East Anglia, shows that Wrens inhabiting regions where winters are more severe have adapted to this. The study used information on Wren populations that had been collected by volunteers participating in the Breeding Bird Survey to show that Wren populations were susceptible to severe winter weather, measured in terms of the number of days with a ground frost. However, northern populations were found to be resilient to winters with up to 70% more frost days than southern populations, suggesting a degree of local adaptation. This work indicates that each Wren population is closely adapted to its local climate; there was a close correlation between the historic regional climate and the degree to which the population was resilient to severe winters. Using information collected by bird ringers, the study also found that Wren body mass was approximately 5% lower in the warmest (south-west) than in the coldest (east Scotland) region. Large individuals are likely to be favoured in colder regions due to the thermal advantage of larger size and their ability to store more body fat, matching the pattern seen more widely across other species – a pattern known as Bergmann’s rule. The findings of this study have particular relevance to our understanding of how birds and other species respond to climate change. Although this work shows that Wren populations may adapt to at least some change in temperature, they are short-lived and therefore probably more adaptable than most other bird species. Ultimately, the ability of species to cope with climate change will depend upon whether the future rate of warming exceeds their ability to adapt. 01.06.16 Papers View on journal website Changes in behaviour drive inter-annual variability in the at-sea distribution of northern gannets Author: Published: 2016 27.05.16 Papers Predictive modelling to identify near-shore, fine-scale seabird distributions during the breeding season Author: Published: 2016 27.05.16 Papers Passerines may be sufficiently plastic to track temperature-mediated shifts in optimum lay date Author: Published: 2016 19.05.16 Papers Pagination First page First Previous page Previous … Page 62 Page 63 Page 64 Page 65 Page 66 Page 67 Page 68 Page 69 Page 70 … Next page Next Last page Last
Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels Author: Published: 2016 30.06.16 Papers View this paper online
Developing a biodiversity-based indicator for large-scale environmental assessment: a case study of proposed shale gas extraction sites in Britain Author: Published: 2016 20.06.16 Papers
Playback survey trial for the Little Owl Athene noctua in the UK Author: Published: 2016 Little Owls are in decline in the UK, but are hard to monitor, making it difficult to establish this species' conservation and management needs. Newly-published research by the BTO demonstrates how playback could be an effective tool for helping to detect and monitor this species. A non-native species, the Little Owl was introduced to the UK and first bred here in the late-1800s. Although it spread rapidly across lowland agricultural habitat, the population has declined fast in recent years, in a similar trajectory to that found in parts of its native range elsewhere in Europe. However, because this species is largely nocturnal and found at a low population density, it is hard to construct reliable population estimates, and the most recent number of 5,700 pairs is derived from work published in 2008. As a declining predatory species that largely occupies agricultural areas and has a varied diet, a better understanding of the Little Owl population and the drivers of its change is valuable irrespective of this species’ native status, so new and improved techniques monitoring Little Owl numbers are desirable. New BTO research, led by Gary Clewley, has tested the use of playback to monitor Little Owl numbers. Here, the response of local birds to recordings of Little Owl calls is assessed. This method was tested in a well-monitored Little Owl population in the Lincolnshire Fens, on whose habitat 12 squares of 2 km by 2 km were surveyed on four occasions between sunset and midnight in March and April 2015. The results showed that playback was a very effective means of detecting Little Owls. Little Owls were found in 100% of squares where individuals were known to be breeding after only two visits. This method could be scaled up for use in wider ecological research or indeed a national survey of Little Owls, the need for which BTO is currently considering. Either way, the application of playback in Little Owl monitoring could prove valuable in decisions about how to manage and conserve this species. 10.06.16 Papers Bird Study
Winter wren populations show adaptation to local climate Author: Published: 2016 BTO research reveals that one of our most widespread songbirds – the Wren – varies in its resilience to winter weather, depending on where in Britain it lives. Scottish Wrens are larger than those living in southern Britain, and are more resilient to hard winter frosts. Wrens are amongst the UK's smallest songbirds, and their populations can decline following periods of cold winter weather, due to the cold itself and difficulties in finding sufficient insect prey. BTO research, in collaboration with the University of East Anglia, shows that Wrens inhabiting regions where winters are more severe have adapted to this. The study used information on Wren populations that had been collected by volunteers participating in the Breeding Bird Survey to show that Wren populations were susceptible to severe winter weather, measured in terms of the number of days with a ground frost. However, northern populations were found to be resilient to winters with up to 70% more frost days than southern populations, suggesting a degree of local adaptation. This work indicates that each Wren population is closely adapted to its local climate; there was a close correlation between the historic regional climate and the degree to which the population was resilient to severe winters. Using information collected by bird ringers, the study also found that Wren body mass was approximately 5% lower in the warmest (south-west) than in the coldest (east Scotland) region. Large individuals are likely to be favoured in colder regions due to the thermal advantage of larger size and their ability to store more body fat, matching the pattern seen more widely across other species – a pattern known as Bergmann’s rule. The findings of this study have particular relevance to our understanding of how birds and other species respond to climate change. Although this work shows that Wren populations may adapt to at least some change in temperature, they are short-lived and therefore probably more adaptable than most other bird species. Ultimately, the ability of species to cope with climate change will depend upon whether the future rate of warming exceeds their ability to adapt. 01.06.16 Papers View on journal website
Changes in behaviour drive inter-annual variability in the at-sea distribution of northern gannets Author: Published: 2016 27.05.16 Papers
Predictive modelling to identify near-shore, fine-scale seabird distributions during the breeding season Author: Published: 2016 27.05.16 Papers
Passerines may be sufficiently plastic to track temperature-mediated shifts in optimum lay date Author: Published: 2016 19.05.16 Papers