Modelling

Data collected by our volunteers and professional field staff over the last 30-50 years form the basis of our extensive and unique databases.  Thanks to these, we are able to produce models to predict change over time or predict change in relation to changing environments.

Some examples of predictive studies we have undertaken include:

  • Birds and Sediments.  A project investigating the relationship between bird densities and intertidal sediment composition and other estuarine parameters in order to develop a predictive tool for determining the likely effects of changes in sediments resulting from tidal power barrages.  Undertaken in collaboration with Institute of Terrestrial Ecology for Energy Technology Support Unit (ETSU) on behalf of the Department of Trade and Industry.
  • Acidification and Breeding Birds.  A project to investigate the extent of past and present effects of acidification on terrestrial birds and to develop a system that has the potential to be a highly cost-effective biomonitor of terrestrial acidification for Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions.
  • MONARCH.  Work predicting the effect of climate change and sea-level rise on waterfowl as part of a wider project Modelling Natural Resource Responses to Climate Change undertaken by a consortium led by the Environmental Change Unit, Oxford University for English Nature.