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Abstract from BTO
Research Report No. 451:
G.E. Austin, N.H.K. Burton
& M.M. Rehfisch (2006)
Newport Wetlands Reserve: Assessment of the SPA Established Wetland
2000/1 to 2005/06 ISBN 978-1-906204-00-6
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- The Newport Wetlands Reserve was established in March 2000 as part
of the compensation measures arising from the impoundment of Cardiff
Bay. It was asked to meet two “bird targets” within five
years of its establishment. Firstly, to ensure appropriate compensation
to the scale of loss of the bird populations from Cardiff Bay, the
reserve should support at least two species of wintering waterbird
in nationally (GB) important numbers. Secondly, that within five years
it would have the potential to qualify for Special Protection Area
(SPA) status alongside or within an extended Severn Estuary SPA boundary.
- This report analyses waterbird counts collected as part of the
Wetland Bird Survey (WeBS) together
with additional counts supplied by CCW with the aim of assessing whether
either or both of these targets have been met.
- Generally, in the UK, a site is considered to be nationally important
for a given species when numbers exceed a level of at least 1% of
the estimated national population – the 1% National Threshold.
For wintering waterbirds, numbers on a site are generally quantified
by taking the five-year average of the peak winter counts –
the five-year peak mean.
- Under this criterion and when using all available data, two waterbird
species, Shoveler and Blacktailed
Godwit, have attained the 1% National Threshold across the entire
reserve during the first five years (winters 2000/01 to 2004/05) following
establishment of the reserve. Black-tailed Godwit has also attained
the 1% National Threshold on the newly created habitat alone. proportion
of 1% National Threshold attained new habitat inland of the sea wall
entire reserve standard counts all available data standard counts
all available data
Shoveler 0.72 0.78 0.91 1.06
Black-tailed Godwit 0.79 1.09 0.93 1.19
- Given that the reserve substantially comprises newly created habitat,
it is possible that some species are still going through a period
of colonisation. While generally, five-year peak means are used to
determine if qualifying thresholds have been met, other methods may
be acceptable when defensible. Accordingly, annual peak counts were
also considered. Aside from the two species that have already surpassed
their 1% National thresholds, the annual peaks of Shelduck and Little
Grebe have come close to, but have not yet reached, this Threshold.
The annual peak for Pintail exceeded the Threshold during the first
winter but has declined sharply since.
- Furthermore, significant upward trends (P<0.05) in annual peak
counts were found for five species.
Thus if numbers do not reach carrying capacity (upper limit of numbers
that can be supported by available resources) in the foreseeable future
and these trends continue, then Little Grebe is likely to attain this
Threshold in the next two years. None of the other species are likely
to attain this level in the immediate future although the annual peak
numbers of Gadwall and Wigeon have the potential to do so within the
next six years if current trends were to be maintained.
- It is reasonable to assume that, since it was established, the reserve
has become a functional component of the Severn Estuary SPA. Consequently
an extension of the boundaries of the Severn Estuary SPA to encompass
the newly created habitats within the reserve boundary would be warranted.
- Underpinning this, an argument could be made for the extension and
re-notification for waterbird interest, of the existing Gwent Levels
SSSIs complex, of which part of the reserve is already a component,
to include all newly established habitat within the reserve inland
of the seawall, based on numbers of Black-tailed Godwit, Shoveler
and potentially Little Grebe.
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