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BBWC Home > Contents > Discussion > The alert system
 
4.1 The alert system
     

This report uses a system of alerts agreed between the providers and users of population monitoring information in the UK. The system provides alerts to population declines of 25-49% and of >50% over short, medium and longer terms (5 years, 10 years and 25+ years respectively). These help to highlight the scale and timing of declines as an aid to interpreting the trend graphs presented. Our main emphasis is on long-term declines measured on the length of the longest time series available (usually 35 years) and over 25 years as this is the period that is normally used to determine red and amber listing (Gregory et al. 2002). Alerts triggered over the short term for individual species should be considered as early warnings, indicating that conservation issues may be developing for these species. However, it is possible that such declines may be due to chance fluctuations in abundance from which the population is able to recover without assistance. The rapid, short-term decline of a suite of similar species should be considered as a stronger indication that potential problems may be developing. Details of the alerts and methodology used in this report are given in the methods section.

     
These alerts are therefore important for the conservation practitioners who need to set priorities for conservation action, but we also hope that they will prove of more general use to other readers of the report.  Similar alerts for wetland birds are now provided by the Wetland Bird Survey (Austin et al. 2004).
     
In this discussion we:
     
1) Review the latest population change measures and alerts for species that are currently on the Population Status of Birds (PSOB) red or amber lists (declines only) for the UK (Gregory et al. 2002).
   
2) Identify species that are not currently on these PSOB lists that have raised alerts on account of long-term declines, and also those species on the list where recovery may be sufficient to downgrade their listing status in the future.
   
3) Briefly review declines along waterways and in scrub and wetland habitats as shown by the WBS and CES schemes.
     
4) Review trends over the last 10 years in species that have shown long-term declines, to identify the extent of ongoing declines and evidence of species recovery.
     
5) Identify those species that have shown rapid long-term population increases.
     
6) Discuss patterns of changes in breeding performance and relationships between trends in abundance and breeding performance.
     
7) Summarise the overall patterns found
     

Except where otherwise indicated our discussion is based on the best long-term trend that is available for each species. These are the trends presented as the main trend graph for each species. Details of estimating and comparing trends are given in the methods section. Full details of all trends available for each species are given on the species pages. Summary tables of all alerts raised by each scheme are presented in the appendices.

It should be noted that a number of species included in the PSOB lists are not covered by this report. Thus tables relating to PSOB list status do not include all species that are on the relevant PSOB list.

     
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This report should be cited as:
Baillie, S.R., Marchant, J.H., Crick, H.Q.P., Noble, D.G., Balmer, D.E., Beaven, L.P., Coombes, R.H.,
Downie, I.S., Freeman, S.N., Joys, A.C., Leech, D.I., Raven, M.J., Robinson, R.A. and Thewlis, R.M. (2005)
Breeding Birds in the Wider Countryside: their conservation status 2004.
BTO Research Report No. 385. BTO, Thetford. (http://www.bto.org/birdtrends)

Pages maintained by Susan Waghorn and Iain Downie: Last updated 18 January, 2006