Unlisted/Green
Biodiversity Steering Group
Conservation Concern List
UK:
Uncertain
Linear Waterways: Rapid decline
Status
Summary
Grey
Wagtail populations are densest in northern and western Britain, where
the CBC and WBS do not provide representative coverage, but the WBS
will cover the species' habitat very well. The trends shown by both
surveys are very similar to those for Pied Wagtail, notably featuring
a rapid decline through the 1970s, but subsequently remaining stable.
The similarity in the trends suggests that they have similar causes.
Grey Wagtail breeding performance has improved markedly over time,
suggesting that it cannot be the demographic rate responsible for
the decline or for holding the population constant subsequently. (The
change in the 12-day nestling stage failure rates is from 16% to 9%.)
Table
of population changes for Grey Wagtail
Source
Period
(yrs)
Years
Plots
(n)
Change
(%)
Lower
limit
Upper
limit
Alert
Comment
CBC all habitats
30
1968-1998
18
45
-21
388
Unrepresentative? small sample
25
1973-1998
19
-24
-49
42
Unrepresentative? small sample
10
1988-1998
20
8
-23
49
Unrepresentative? small sample
5
1993-1998
20
2
-20
23
Unrepresentative? small sample
WBS waterways
23
1975-1998
57
-48
-61
-30
>25
10
1988-1998
65
-18
-33
-2
5
1993-1998
67
-7
-18
4
BBS UK
5
1994-1999
138
40
14
73
BBS England
5
1994-1999
86
24
-5
61
BBS Scotland
5
1994-1999
24
107
24
246
Small sample
The
Breeding Bird Survey is jointly funded by BTO, JNCC and RSPB
Table
of productivity information for Grey Wagtail
Variable
Period
(yrs)
Years
Mean
annual
sample
Trend
Predicted
in first year
Predicted
in last year
Change
Comment
Clutch size
30
1968-1998
43
Linear increase
4.8 eggs
5.01 eggs
0.21 eggs
Brood size
30
1968-1998
88
Linear increase
4.06 chicks
4.5 chicks
0.44 chicks
Daily failure rate (eggs)
30
1968-1998
65
None
Daily failure rate (chicks)
30
1968-1998
63
Curvilinear
0.0146 nests/day
0.0081 nests/day
-0.0065 nests/day
Laying date
30
1968-1998
68
None
Insufficient
data on CES
available for this species